Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
Identifieur interne : 000403 ( new/Analysis ); précédent : 000402; suivant : 000404Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
Auteurs : Kenji Mizumoto [Japon, États-Unis] ; Katsushi Kagaya [Japon] ; Alexander Zarebski [Royaume-Uni] ; Gerardo Chowell [États-Unis]Source :
- Eurosurveillance [ 1025-496X ] ; 2020.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Infections asymptomatiques, Infections à coronavirus (diagnostic), Infections à coronavirus (transmission), Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie), Jeune adulte, Modèles statistiques, Mâle, Navires, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Pneumopathie virale (diagnostic), Pneumopathie virale (transmission), Pneumopathie virale (épidémiologie), Quarantaine, Répartition par sexe, Répartition par âge, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Voyage.
- MESH :
- diagnostic : Infections à coronavirus, Pneumopathie virale.
- épidémiologie : Infections à coronavirus, Pneumopathie virale.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Infections asymptomatiques, Jeune adulte, Modèles statistiques, Mâle, Navires, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Quarantaine, Répartition par sexe, Répartition par âge, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Voyage.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Asymptomatic Infections, Betacoronavirus (genetics), Betacoronavirus (isolation & purification), Child, Child, Preschool, Coronavirus Infections (diagnosis), Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (transmission), Disease Outbreaks, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Pneumonia, Viral (diagnosis), Pneumonia, Viral (epidemiology), Pneumonia, Viral (transmission), Quarantine, Sex Distribution, Ships, Travel, Young Adult.
- MESH :
- diagnosis : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- genetics : Betacoronavirus.
- isolation & purification : Betacoronavirus.
- transmission : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Asymptomatic Infections, Child, Child, Preschool, Disease Outbreaks, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Quarantine, Sex Distribution, Ships, Travel, Young Adult.
Abstract
On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections’ timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5–20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.
Url:
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180
PubMed: 32183930
PubMed Central: 7078829
Affiliations:
- Japon, Royaume-Uni, États-Unis
- Angleterre, Géorgie (États-Unis), Oxfordshire, Région du Kansai
- Kyoto, Oxford
- Université d'Oxford, Université de Kyoto
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
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PMC:7078829Le document en format XML
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type="city">Kyoto</settlement><region type="prefecture">Région du Kansai</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zarebski, Alexander" sort="Zarebski, Alexander" uniqKey="Zarebski A" first="Alexander" last="Zarebski">Alexander Zarebski</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff5">Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Oxford</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="comté" nuts="2">Oxfordshire</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Oxford</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff3">Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Eurosurveillance</title><idno type="ISSN">1025-496X</idno><idno type="eISSN">1560-7917</idno><imprint><date when="2020">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Age Distribution</term><term>Aged</term><term>Aged, 80 and over</term><term>Asymptomatic Infections</term><term>Betacoronavirus (genetics)</term><term>Betacoronavirus (isolation & purification)</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Coronavirus Infections (diagnosis)</term><term>Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology)</term><term>Coronavirus Infections (transmission)</term><term>Disease Outbreaks</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Models, Statistical</term><term>Pneumonia, Viral (diagnosis)</term><term>Pneumonia, Viral (epidemiology)</term><term>Pneumonia, Viral (transmission)</term><term>Quarantine</term><term>Sex Distribution</term><term>Ships</term><term>Travel</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Flambées de maladies</term><term>Humains</term><term>Infections asymptomatiques</term><term>Infections à coronavirus (diagnostic)</term><term>Infections à coronavirus (transmission)</term><term>Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie)</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Modèles statistiques</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Navires</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Pneumopathie virale (diagnostic)</term><term>Pneumopathie virale (transmission)</term><term>Pneumopathie virale (épidémiologie)</term><term>Quarantaine</term><term>Répartition par sexe</term><term>Répartition par âge</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus</term><term>Voyage</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="diagnosis" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term><term>Pneumonia, Viral</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="diagnostic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Infections à coronavirus</term><term>Pneumopathie virale</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term><term>Pneumonia, Viral</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="genetics" xml:lang="en"><term>Betacoronavirus</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="isolation & purification" xml:lang="en"><term>Betacoronavirus</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="transmission" xml:lang="en"><term>Coronavirus Infections</term><term>Pneumonia, Viral</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Infections à coronavirus</term><term>Pneumopathie virale</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Age Distribution</term><term>Aged</term><term>Aged, 80 and over</term><term>Asymptomatic Infections</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Disease Outbreaks</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Models, Statistical</term><term>Quarantine</term><term>Sex Distribution</term><term>Ships</term><term>Travel</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Flambées de maladies</term><term>Humains</term><term>Infections asymptomatiques</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Modèles statistiques</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Navires</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Quarantaine</term><term>Répartition par sexe</term><term>Répartition par âge</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus</term><term>Voyage</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections’ timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5–20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Backer, Ja" uniqKey="Backer J">JA Backer</name></author><author><name sortKey="Klinkenberg, D" uniqKey="Klinkenberg D">D Klinkenberg</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wallinga, J" uniqKey="Wallinga J">J Wallinga</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Kroon, Fp" uniqKey="Kroon F">FP Kroon</name></author><author><name sortKey="Weiland, Ht" uniqKey="Weiland H">HT Weiland</name></author><author><name sortKey="Van Loon, Am" uniqKey="Van Loon A">AM van Loon</name></author><author><name sortKey="Van Furth, R" uniqKey="Van Furth R">R van Furth</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Mbabazi, Wb" uniqKey="Mbabazi W">WB Mbabazi</name></author><author><name sortKey="Nanyunja, M" uniqKey="Nanyunja M">M Nanyunja</name></author><author><name sortKey="Makumbi, I" uniqKey="Makumbi I">I Makumbi</name></author><author><name sortKey="Braka, F" uniqKey="Braka F">F Braka</name></author><author><name sortKey="Baliraine, Fn" uniqKey="Baliraine F">FN Baliraine</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kisakye, A" uniqKey="Kisakye A">A Kisakye</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Miura, F" uniqKey="Miura F">F Miura</name></author><author><name sortKey="Matsuyama, R" uniqKey="Matsuyama R">R Matsuyama</name></author><author><name sortKey="Nishiura, H" uniqKey="Nishiura H">H Nishiura</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Mizumoto, K" uniqKey="Mizumoto K">K Mizumoto</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kobayashi, T" uniqKey="Kobayashi T">T Kobayashi</name></author><author><name sortKey="Chowell, G" uniqKey="Chowell G">G Chowell</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hoehl, S" uniqKey="Hoehl S">S Hoehl</name></author><author><name sortKey="Rabenau, H" uniqKey="Rabenau H">H Rabenau</name></author><author><name sortKey="Berger, A" uniqKey="Berger A">A Berger</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kortenbusch, M" uniqKey="Kortenbusch M">M Kortenbusch</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cinatl, J" uniqKey="Cinatl J">J Cinatl</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bojkova, D" uniqKey="Bojkova D">D Bojkova</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Huang, C" uniqKey="Huang C">C Huang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Y" uniqKey="Wang Y">Y Wang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Li, X" uniqKey="Li X">X Li</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ren, L" uniqKey="Ren L">L Ren</name></author><author><name sortKey="Zhao, J" uniqKey="Zhao J">J Zhao</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hu, Y" uniqKey="Hu Y">Y Hu</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Zou, L" uniqKey="Zou L">L Zou</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ruan, F" uniqKey="Ruan F">F Ruan</name></author><author><name sortKey="Huang, M" uniqKey="Huang M">M Huang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Liang, L" uniqKey="Liang L">L Liang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Huang, H" uniqKey="Huang H">H Huang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hong, Z" uniqKey="Hong Z">Z Hong</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Japon</li><li>Royaume-Uni</li><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Angleterre</li><li>Géorgie (États-Unis)</li><li>Oxfordshire</li><li>Région du Kansai</li></region><settlement><li>Kyoto</li><li>Oxford</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université d'Oxford</li><li>Université de Kyoto</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="Japon"><noRegion><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Kagaya, Katsushi" sort="Kagaya, Katsushi" uniqKey="Kagaya K" first="Katsushi" last="Kagaya">Katsushi Kagaya</name><name sortKey="Kagaya, Katsushi" sort="Kagaya, Katsushi" uniqKey="Kagaya K" first="Katsushi" last="Kagaya">Katsushi Kagaya</name><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name></country><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Géorgie (États-Unis)"><name sortKey="Mizumoto, Kenji" sort="Mizumoto, Kenji" uniqKey="Mizumoto K" first="Kenji" last="Mizumoto">Kenji Mizumoto</name></region><name sortKey="Chowell, Gerardo" sort="Chowell, Gerardo" uniqKey="Chowell G" first="Gerardo" last="Chowell">Gerardo Chowell</name></country><country name="Royaume-Uni"><region name="Angleterre"><name sortKey="Zarebski, Alexander" sort="Zarebski, Alexander" uniqKey="Zarebski A" first="Alexander" last="Zarebski">Alexander Zarebski</name></region></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/new/Analysis/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:32183930" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/new/Analysis/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a CovidV2
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |  |